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Hurricane Wilma Advisory As of 5PM

In cooperation with: Visit Mexico
In a Little Cafe...
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for Cancun
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Hurricane Wilma Advisory As of 5PM

Waiting on the Dood,

But this is the latest.....

Hurricane Wilma Advisory Number 18

Statement as of 5:00 PM EDT on October 19, 2005

...Wilma continues toward the Yucatan as a potentially catastrophic

category five hurricane...

A Hurricane Warning remains in effect from San Felipe to Tulum on

the Yucatan Peninsula...including Cozumel and the nearby islands.

A Hurricane Warning is also in effect for Swan Island.

A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect from south of Tulum to

Chetumal Mexico...and for Belize from the border with Mexico

southward to Belize City.

A Hurricane Watch remains in effect for the East Coast of the

Yucatan Peninsula from south of Tulum to Punta gruesa.

A Hurricane Watch remains in effect in Cuba for the provinces of

Matanzas westward through Pinar del Rio...and for the Isle of

Youth.

A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect for Honduras from the

Honduras/Nicaragua border westward to Cabo camaron.

All interests in the Florida Keys and the Florida Peninsula should

closely monitor the progress of extremely dangerous Hurricane Wilma.

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected

within the warning area...generally within the next 24 hours.

Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to

completion. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are

possible within the watch area...generally within 36 hours.

For storm information specific to your area...including possible

inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued

by your local weather office.

At 5 PM EDT...2100z...the center of Hurricane Wilma was located near

latitude 17.7 north... longitude 83.7 west or about 285 miles...

460 km... southeast of Cozumel Mexico.

Wilma is moving toward the west-northwest near 7 mph...11 km/hr. A

turn to the northwest is expected over the next 24 hours.

Maximum sustained winds are near 160 mph...260 km/hr...with higher

gusts. Wilma is a category five hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson

scale. Fluctuations in intensity are common in hurricanes of this

intensity...and are likely during the next 24 hours.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 60 miles... 95 km...

from the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up

to 230 miles...370 km.

The latest minimum central pressure reported by an Air Force Reserve

reconnaissance aircraft was 892 mb...26.34 inches.

Wilma is expected to produce storm total accumulations of 10 to 15

inches...with local amounts near 25 inches in mountainous terrain

across Cuba through Friday. Additional rainfall accumulations of 5

to 10 inches...with isolated amounts of 15 inches...are possible

across the Cayman Islands...Swan Island...and Jamaica through

Thursday. Storm total accumulations of 4 to 8 inches...with

isolated amounts of 10 to 12 inches...are possible from Honduras

northward to the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico through Thursday.

If the center of Wilma makes landfall on the Yucatan Peninsula...

coastal storm surge flooding of 7-10 feet above normal tide

levels...along with large and dangerous battering waves...can be

expected near and to the north of the center.

Repeating the 5 PM EDT position...17.7 N... 83.7 W. Movement

toward...west-northwest near 7 mph. Maximum sustained

winds...160 mph. Minimum central pressure... 892 mb.

An intermediate advisory will be issued by the National

Hurricane Center at 8 PM EDT followed by the next

complete advisory at 11 PM EDT.

Forecaster Franklin

Mentioned in this post
Tulum
Tulum
Riviera Maya, Mexico
Cozumel
Cozumel
Quintana Roo, Mexico
Chetumal
Chetumal
Quintana Roo, Mexico
Belize
Belize
Central America
Honduras
Honduras
Central America
Nicaragua
Nicaragua
Central America
Jamaica
Jamaica
Caribbean
irvine, ca
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1. Re: Hurricane Wilma Advisory As of 5PM

Thanks Dangers, I am scared just reading this. I am a weather channel freak anyway and will be watching so closely and worrying about our TA friends in Cancun.

Cancun, Mexico
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2. Re: Hurricane Wilma Advisory As of 5PM

Hi Dangers.....Next time hopefully we can sing "I can see clearly now the rain is gone"

Thanks for the info, I'm alittle worried with this one!!

I'll let you know how the club makes out!!

Say hi to Carney....LOL

State of Disarray
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3,805 posts
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3. Re: Hurricane Wilma Advisory As of 5PM

Dangers

Thanks for the post. I am having a hard time getting my humor up, tonight, as I am concerned for our friends.

Karaoke Joe

May your next song be "Somewhere Over the Rainbow," the Eva Cassidy version. Rainbows wished for all you folks.

In a Little Cafe...
Destination Expert
for Cancun
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4. Re: Hurricane Wilma Advisory As of 5PM

Karaoke Joe, where ya been my amigo?

Tossed up a review on here and the

attraction board for the Over30.

Keep and eye out for my relatives down

there, they'll likely need someone to

tell them to get out of the rain.

(They're still in town)

Stay safe Joe and I'll let Carney know you

were asking about him. ;-)

In a Little Cafe...
Destination Expert
for Cancun
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5. Re: Hurricane Wilma Advisory As of 5PM

AQ, I'm with you.

This Hurricane Wilma looks to be the real

deal and is moving perilously close to the

Isla' and the Yucatan.

Hopefully our local friends are heeding the

NHC reports and Dood's expert advice and

preparing to move to safe shelters.

In a Little Cafe...
Destination Expert
for Cancun
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6. Re: Hurricane Wilma Advisory As of 5PM

This is the 8 PM Update:

More of the same basically with the storm

still tracking to the west-Northwest which

is not the best of scenarios.

Hurricane Wilma Intermediate Advisory Number 18a

Statement as of 8:00 PM EDT on October 19, 2005

...Wilma continues west-northwestward toward the Yucatan as a

potentially catastrophic category five hurricane...

a Hurricane Warning remains in effect from San Felipe to Tulum on

the Yucatan Peninsula...including Cozumel and the nearby islands.

A Hurricane Warning is also in effect for Swan Island.

A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect from south of Tulum to

Chetumal Mexico...and for Belize from the border with Mexico

southward to Belize City.

A Hurricane Watch remains in effect for the East Coast of the

Yucatan Peninsula from south of Tulum to Punta gruesa.

A Hurricane Watch remains in effect in Cuba for the provinces of

Matanzas westward through Pinar del Rio...and for the Isle of

Youth.

A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect for Honduras from the

Honduras/Nicaragua border westward to Cabo camaron.

All interests in the Florida Keys and the Florida Peninsula should

closely monitor the progress of extremely dangerous Hurricane Wilma.

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected

within the warning area...generally within the next 24 hours.

Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to

completion. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are

possible within the watch area...generally within 36 hours.

For storm information specific to your area...including possible

inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued

by your local weather office.

At 8 PM EDT...0000z...the center of Hurricane Wilma was located near

latitude 17.9 north... longitude 83.9 west or about 270 miles...

435 km... southeast of Cozumel Mexico.

Wilma is moving toward the west-northwest near 7 mph...11

km/hr...with some wobbles. A turn to the northwest is expected

over the next 24 hours.

Maximum sustained winds are near 160 mph...260 km/hr...with higher

gusts. Wilma is a category five hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson

scale. Fluctuations in intensity are common in hurricanes of this

intensity...and are likely during the next 24 hours.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 60 miles... 95 km...

from the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up

to 230 miles...370 km.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 892 mb...26.34 inches.

Wilma is expected to produce storm total accumulations of 10 to 15

inches...with local amounts near 25 inches in mountainous terrain

across Cuba through Friday. Additional rainfall accumulations of 5

to 10 inches...with isolated amounts of 15 inches...are possible

across the Cayman Islands...Swan Island...and Jamaica through

Thursday. Storm total accumulations of 4 to 8 inches...with

isolated amounts of 10 to 12 inches...are possible from Honduras

northward to the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico through Thursday.

If the center of Wilma makes landfall on the Yucatan Peninsula...

coastal storm surge flooding of 7-10 feet above normal tide

levels...along with large and dangerous battering waves...can be

expected near and to the north of the center.

Repeating the 8 PM EDT position...17.9 N... 83.9 W. Movement

toward...west-northwest near 7 mph. Maximum sustained

winds...160 mph. Minimum central pressure... 892 mb.

The next advisory will be issued by the National

Hurricane Center at 11 PM EDT.

Mentioned in this post
Tulum
Tulum
Riviera Maya, Mexico
Cozumel
Cozumel
Quintana Roo, Mexico
Chetumal
Chetumal
Quintana Roo, Mexico
Belize
Belize
Central America
Honduras
Honduras
Central America
Nicaragua
Nicaragua
Central America
Jamaica
Jamaica
Caribbean
Cancun
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7. Re: Hurricane Wilma Advisory As of 5PM

Thanks Dangers....Holding on tight and starting to freak out here!

State of Disarray
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3,805 posts
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8. Re: Hurricane Wilma Advisory As of 5PM

Canuck.........you may be so nervous you can't feel it, but we are there with you, holding your hands.

In a Little Cafe...
Destination Expert
for Cancun
Level Contributor
10,870 posts
5 reviews
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9. Re: Hurricane Wilma Advisory As of 5PM

CC, as with the last one, we'll hang in there with you as

long as you can stay online.

Do hang on tight and get to a safe place if you need to.

Illinois
Level Contributor
4,447 posts
1 review
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10. Re: Hurricane Wilma Advisory As of 5PM

Thanks Dangers for keeping everyone up to date. You are a fine young man :)